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Having lost three of four since a start to the season, Tennessee took care of business against the Baltimore Ravens in Week That included a yard game-winning touchdown run from Derrick Henry in overtime. Since the start of last season, these Titans are when Henry goes for plus yards on the ground. They are when he fails to reach the triple-digit plateau. As for the Colts, they have given up yards or more on the ground just six times since Week 8 of the season.
Strength versus strength here. Prior to that, the Panthers were giving up an average of In fact, the last time Carolina gave up single-digit points was all the way back in Week 1 of the season. The moral of this story? Having tallied total yards and seven touchdowns over the past four games, Dalvin Cook should help Carolina return to reality here. The Vikings at Cleveland has won seven games since the last time Jacksonville earned a victory.
In fact, the Browns are for just the second time since These are not the same old Browns. As evidenced by their win over the Eagles in Week 11, this team can beat you in a multitude of ways. As for the Jaguars, they are being outscored by nearly 10 points per game on the season. Cleveland at Take the Browns and the points here. Burrow had led an offense that was making major strides under young head coach Zac Taylor. In fact, Cincinnati put up north of total yards in five of his first nine starts.
Prior to selecting Burrow, the Bengals had reached that yardage total six times since Week 12 of the campaign. Almost two full seasons. Take that into account with Brandon Allen getting the call under center. Related: NFL Week 12 injury report. That span has seen Arizona yield an average of That has forced Kyler Murray to put the ball up at a high clip, leading to some high-scoring games in the process. Following their loss to the Chargers in Week 11, these Jets are and officially eliminated from the playoffs.
They are being outscored by north of 14 points per game. Heck, New York allowed rookie quarterback Justin Herbert to completed of passes for yards and three touchdowns. However, whenever the Jets are not double-digit underdogs under Adam Gase, it makes sense to take the opposing team and the points. Related: NFL hot seat alert. Perhaps, put some respect behind their name.
Those are the two odds-on Super Bowl favorites. Las Vegas is averaging nearly 29 points per game with Derek Carr accounting for 19 touchdown passes and just three interceptions. In his first NFL start, Saints quarterback Taysom Hill completed of passes for yards while adding 51 yards on the ground and two rushing scores.
As for the Panthers, they've been one of the best underdogs to bet on this year. Since Week 3, the Panthers have been a 'dog seven times and they've gone ATS in those games straight-up. The Patriots are an underdog in this game, which is notable, because they actually seem to do pretty well as an underdog. In their past 12 games as an underdog, the Patriots have gone ATS and straight-up. As for the Cardinals, they're ATS and straight-up in the past nine games where they've been favored.
Although the Dolphins lost on Sunday, they've still been a solid team to bet on this season. In their past six games, they've gone both straight-up and ATS. That being said, one reason to like the Jets is because home underdogs in divisional games are ATS this season. The Jets are also ATS in their past four games after starting the season If there's one team you never want to bet on as a road favorite, it's the Cleveland Browns. In their past five games where they were favored on the road, the Browns are straight-up and ATS.
The Browns are also ATS in their past seven road games overall. The past five weeks haven't been pretty either, as the Browns have gone ATS in their past five games. On the Jaguars' end, not only have the lost nine straight, but they're ATS in their past eight games. One thing to like about the Jags is that they're ATS in the past 14 games where they've been an underdog of a touchdown or more.
If you're scared off by the fact that the Saints won't have Drew Brees this week, don't be. In the past six games they've played without Brees, the Saints have gone both straight-up and ATS. As for the Broncos, they've won two straight games as a home underdog, including Sunday's win over the Dolphins.
If there's one underdog you don't want to bet against, it's the 49ers. In their past 10 games as an underdog, the Niners are ATS straight-up. The 49ers have also beaten the Rams three straight times, including back in Week 6 when San Francisco won as a 2.
As for the Rams, since Sean McVay was hired in , they've been favored by seven or more points a total of 19 times and in those 19 games, they've gone straight-up ATS. The Rams are also one of just three teams who are still undefeated at home this season In their past nine games at home, the Rams are straight-up and ATS.
This will be the 22nd road start of Patrick Mahomes ' career and if the past is any indication, it might be smart to bet on him. In the previous 21 games, Mahomes has gone ATS. On the other hand, one issue with betting the Chiefs in this spot is that they're ATS in their past 11 regular season games against teams from the NFC straight-up.
As for the Buccaneers, they've been absolutely disastrous as an underdog. In the past nine games where that has happened, Tampa has gone straight-up and ATS. That being said, one of those two wins came back in Week 6 when the Buccaneers beat the Packers in a game where Green Bay was favored by three points. This game will mark the fourth time that Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes have met on the field.
In the previous three games, Brady has gone both straight-up and ATS. This rivalry has been pretty one-sided over the past four years. Since the start of the season, the Packers have gone straight-up against the Bears and ATS. That being said, the Packers haven't done a great job of covering large point spreads, going ATS In the past nine games where they were favored by a touchdown or more. As for the Bears, they've looked horrible over the past four weeks, going straight-up and ATS. Chicago is coming off a bye this week, which is notable, because the Bears are have been atrocious off the bye, going both straight-up and ATS since the start of the season.
Although the Seahawks generally dominate in primetime games at home, the same can't be said on the road. In their past four road primetime games, they've gone both straight-up and ATS. The Seahawks are also ATS in the past six games where they were favored by six points or more.
As for the Eagles, they're straight-up and ATS in their past 15 games as a home underdog. One thing to like about the Eagles though is that they're straight-up in their past nine home primetime games. By John Breech. Nov 23, at am ET 10 min read.
The Chargers prevailed in a close game for a change in Week 11, holding off the winless Jets at home despite some tense moments late. Both Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram have returned in recent weeks. The propensity for defensive breakdowns is especially concerning considering they now have the high-powered Bills offense on tap and coming off a bye at that. Buffalo arrives with the fourth-most passing yards Los Angeles is surrendering a nearly identical That also sets up as a potential recipe for plenty of offensive success for the visitors.
Buffalo is giving up a robust Although Los Angeles is ATS as a road dog and could easily have a much better record than its current mark, the Bills are relatively comfortable home favorites at the moment. Arizona will have a few extra days of recuperation time prior to this game, which gives Kenyan Drake a chance to allow his previously gimpy ankle to get back to full strength. Drake looked to be moving well against Seattle despite finding running room at a premium.
He now draws a matchup against a Patriots defense giving The Dolphins got a bit of humble pie in the thin air of Denver on Sunday, falling to the Broncos by a score in a game that saw rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa get pulled for Ryan Fitzpatrick due to ineffectiveness. The Jets put a real scare into the host Chargers as they continued to look like a functional offense with Joe Flacco under center, but they ultimately fell by a margin.
Miami will need to quickly reset to avoid falling into another complacency trap against their winless division rivals. The good news for Tagovailoa — who coach Brian Flores confirmed late Sunday is still the starting quarterback — is the matchup sets up best through the air. New York allowed another passing yards and three touchdowns to Justin Herbert on Sunday, knocking them down to the third-worst pass defense in the league On the ground, Salvon Ahmed was given another chance to helm the backfield in Week 11 and did well until game script conspired against him.
Miami is still ranked in the top 10 in points allowed per game, and the Fins also surrender the seventh-fewest passing yards per road contest However, Sam Darnold reportedly has a good chance to return to action from his shoulder injury Week The Giants took their bye in Week 10 after heading into the break with consecutive wins over Washington and the Eagles. The Bengals suffered a loss of the worst possible kind in Week 11, as first overall pick Joe Burrow was lost for the season with a serious knee injury on a sack and Cincy went on to fall to Washington, Daniel Jones has still thrown more interceptions nine than touchdowns eight and has 13 total turnovers.
However, he completed The Giants have also been able to support a serviceable ground attack centered on Wayne Gallman and Alfred Morris in recent weeks. Ryan Finley looked fairly lost when pressed into emergency duty under center Sunday. New York gives up The Titans did it to the Ravens yet again Sunday, coming from behind to post a overtime win against Baltimore in its backyard.
The Colts had a spirited comeback of their own versus a quality opponent, overcoming a two-touchdown deficit versus the Packers to notch their own win in the extra period. Tennessee goes from the proverbial frying pan to the fire in terms of defensive matchup Week The Colts are still ranked in the top 10 against both the run and pass, but Ryan Tannehill and his talented offensive teammates have been able to transcend matchup in averaging However, Indy did do quite the job of frustrating them in a Week 10 road win.
The Colts will look to carry over the significant momentum Philip Rivers and the rest of the air attack have built up over the last two games. Rivers has thrown for yards and posted a TD:INT in that pair of contests and has shown encouraging rapport with rookie Michael Pittman. This marquee rematch currently sees the Colts as favorites. However, their deep backfield mitigates the absence to a large degree. The Jaguars defense has been flat-out bad while allowing the third-most total yards per game Jacksonville is surrendering The Jags figure to need to summon up every ounce of that improvement in this matchup, as the duo of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt have helped Cleveland average the third-most rushing yards The Browns have gotten an assist from the weather in their last three games, which have all come at home in either extremely windy or rainy conditions.
Gardner Minshew thumb did put in limited practices leading up to Week 11, so it remains to be seen if the second-year signal-caller will be able to make it back for this contest. The developments have helped the Browns up their projected advantage slightly heading into kickoff. The Panthers overcome the absences of both Teddy Bridgewater knee and Christian McCaffrey shoulder in Week 11 with the help of a standout effort from their defense.
Walker more than holding his own under center. The Vikings were unable to extend their winning streak to three games, falling to the Cowboys by a score with blown lead late. The Panthers expect to have Bridgewater back for this contest after he practiced in limited fashion all of last week and was reportedly on the verge of garnering active status versus Detroit.
That would leave the backfield in the hands of Mike Davis yet again versus a defense that allowed Ezekiel Elliott his first yard effort of the campaign Sunday and yields 4. The Vikings, and Dalvin Cook in particular, draw a second consecutive tantalizing ground matchup. An expected absence by McCaffrey and at least some uncertainty for the time being regarding Bridgewater likely plays a part in the Vikings currently checking in as home favorites. The Raiders nearly pulled off the improbable feat of sweeping the season series from the defending-champion Chiefs on Sunday night before giving up a late Travis Kelce touchdown to go down by a score.
Atlanta is allowing the second-most passing yards per game Carr and his pass-catching cohorts could take center stage as well, with Atlanta a true funnel unit that only allows 3. The pass-happy Falcons were fairly abysmal through the air versus New Orleans. Matt Ryan was sacked a whopping eight times and tossed a pair of picks on his way to a modest yards. Jones could be a game-time decision for this contest as per early-week reports.
That would leave Ryan short-handed in his attempt to exploit what is a favorable matchup against a Las Vegas squad giving up With Jones very questionable for this contest and the Falcons taking a big step back Week 11, Atlanta currently finds itself as a home underdog. The Raiders remain solid road favorites heading into kickoff. The league denied that request, so the Broncos are now set to start wide receiver Kendall Hinton under center. The Saints got their temporary Drew Brees-less tenure off to an excellent start in Week 11, toppling the Falcons by a score with an excellent performance by Taysom Hill in his first starting QB audition.
The Broncos offense has much less optimistic prospects. Derrick Henry capped off an incredibly strong day with a yard rushing touchdown for the win in overtime, while Rodrigo Blankenship delivered a game-winning field goal in overtime for the Colts.
The last time these teams met, Indianapolis earned a surprising point road victory over their divisional foe. The difference in that game wound up being on special teams as Stephen Gostkowski missed another field goal while Trevor Daniel shanked one punt and saw another punt blocked and returned for a touchdown. The Colts are allowing the fifth-fewest points and the second-fewest yards per game. Tennessee failed to score in the second half the last time these teams played as Ryan Tannehill had one of his worst games of the season, finishing with just 15 of 27 passing for yards and a touchdown with a Philip Rivers made some huge plays last week as his receiving corps is coming together, and rookie wideout Michael Pittman scored another touchdown with 3 catches for 66 yards.
Matchup to watch: Derrick Henry vs. Welcome to the NFL, P. In his first career game, Walker did enough to lead the Panthers to the win as he completed 24 of 34 passes for yards and a key touchdown to Curtis Samuel, although he did throw two interceptions. Teddy Bridgewater was almost ready to play, and head coach Matt Rhule said his knee was good to go, but the team opted against it for precautionary reasons.
This week, I expect to see Bridgewater back on the field, and he should be able to succeed against the Vikings, who have allowed the most passing touchdowns in the NFL this season. With D. Dalvin Cook leads the NFL in rushing yards per game and has put up carries for 1, yards and 13 touchdowns in just 9 games. The Vikings have a much more explosive offense and should be able to take advantage of a Carolina defense that allows opponents to convert on Vegas still overrates the Vikings a bit, and the Panthers are a strong enough team to cover the spread on the road, and while this is a dome game, these two teams play with some of the slowest paces in the NFL — they both rank in the bottom five for offensive plays per game.
Matchup to watch: Teddy Bridgewater vs. Kareem Hunt finished with just 13 carries for 11 yards last week, although he did score a touchdown, and this is quite clearly the best duo of running backs in the NFL who play behind one of the best offensive lines in the NFL.
Henderson, D. Hayden, and Sidney Jones as well as their top edge rusher in Josh Allen. Chark ribs O, CB D. Henderson groin IR. It was a depressing moment for the Bengals when Joe Burrow went down on Sunday and was immediately carted off the field. See ya next year. The Giants have a solid pass rush with the 11th-most sacks in the NFL — Leonard Williams has led the charge with 5 sacks in 10 games.
The Giants are coming off a bye week after their point home win over the Eagles in which Daniel Jones played some of his best ball of the season — he completed 21 of 28 passes for yards and rushed 9 times for 64 yards and a touchdown to finish with a QBR of The Bengals have allowed the 3rd-most passing touchdowns this season, so I would be expecting a strong game from Danny Dimes.
The Giants are ATS on the road this season, and the Bengals are going to need some time to adjust offensively to not having Joe Burrow, who has really kept them afloat. Deshaun Watson exposed them on Sunday as he completed 28 of 37 passes for yards and 2 touchdowns and also carried the ball 6 times for 36 yards and 1 touchdown.
Now, they have to face Kyler Murray, who is on pace for 31 passing touchdowns and 16 rushing touchdowns this season. The biggest issue for New England has been a complete lack of pass rush as they have just 13 sacks through 10 games, the fourth-fewest in the NFL. The cornerback duo of Stephon Gilmore and J.
Cam Newton has also struggled as he has just an Stephon Gilmore and J. I expected the Dolphins to earn another victory on Sunday, but they dropped a road game to the Broncos as the duo of Tua Tagovailoa, and Ryan Fitzpatrick completed just 23 of 38 passes for yards with 1 touchdown Tua and 1 interception Fitz.
Tua was also sacked 6 times as he surprisingly struggled to get the ball out of his hands despite his impressive mobility and throw-on-the-run ability. We did see an impressive toe-tap touchdown from Tua to DeVante Parker early on in the game, but the offense stalled out otherwise and scored just 3 points in the second half.
The Jets, meanwhile, had almost the opposite outcome as they scored just 6 points in the first half and 22 in the second half as they came back and made the Chargers sweat towards the end of the game. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are allowing just Miami will come into this game hungry for a bounce-back win, especially with their standing at second place in the AFC East and one game behind the Buffalo Bills.
I like the Dolphins to have a bounce-back week, especially on the defensive end, where they should shut down the underwhelming Jets. Matchup to watch: Tua Tagovailoa vs. I expected the Chiefs to boatrace the Raiders on Sunday Night Football in a measure of revenge for their one loss earlier this season.
I was partially right, as Kansas City racked up 36 first downs, yards of offense, and 35 points, but the Raiders hung around until the very end. Derek Carr had one of the best games of his career as he completed 23 of 31 passes for yards and 3 touchdowns. He did throw one interception at the very end as Vegas looked to push the ball downfield, but otherwise, he played a damn near perfect game, especially considering a few of his incompletions were on drops by his receivers. Nelson Agholor finished with 6 catches for 88 yards and another touchdown as Darren Waller caught 7 balls for 88 yards and a touchdown.
Atlanta is coming off just a 9-point effort on the road against the Saints as Matt Ryan threw two interceptions, took 8 sacks, and finished with a Matchup to watch: Derek Carr vs. I picked against the Broncos last week, and they surprised me with one of their best defensive performances of the season in holding the Dolphins to yards of offense and 13 points as they were forced to bench Tua Tagovailoa and look to Ryan Fitzpatrick for a late spark. Drew Lock had a better game than in recent weeks as he finished with yards passing and a QBR of New Orleans now has 32 sacks on the year, tied for the 3rd-most in football.
Cameron Jordan led the way with 3 sacks to give him 5. The Saints have allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game and have allowed just 5 rushing touchdowns all year, tied for the fewest in the NFL. This is shaping up to be a defensive slugfest with one of the lower over-under of the week. Drew Lock worst passer rating under pressure in NFL.
Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods both played perhaps their best game of the season as Jared Goff completed 39 of 51 passes for yards and 3 touchdowns. Goff did throw two interceptions, but his offensive line held him without a sack and did much better than I expected against what had been a dominant Tampa pass rush. The last time we saw them play, a massively undermanned San Francisco team scored just 13 points on the road against the Saints.
Welcome to the game of the week. Patrick Mahomes vs. Tom Brady. Andy Reid vs. Bruce Arians.