Nothing about this total seemed attractive from the outset for this game, even before any number was put out. New England's offense struggles to put up points and move the ball to begin with, a disinterested Patriots team isn't exactly helping that cause. But a New England team that feels like Buffalo's taken them lightly and gets after frustrating QB Josh Allen with a takeaway or two can lead to quick scores as well. New England's string of six straight 'unders' cashing will be tested with Buffalo being the best offense of the bunch they've seen there, and it's also the Patriots first game at home in nearly a month Nov 29th which can be considered a boost to their own offense.
Too many cases to be made on too many sides of the story for this total for me to get interested in any of them. The jump in the total from that meeting to this reflects that, so easy one to avoid. Bill Belichick and the Patriots have won 17 of their last 20 meetings against the Bills from Foxboro. That was one of the few times I was holding a Patriots ticket this year, and it really was a game where the outright money-line should have cashed for New England as well.
In a post-division-clinching spot, those aren't numbers I'd want to see when considering laying the number with Buffalo on the road. So hoping the Patriots show enough interest in wanting to close this year out professionally, I think taking the points with them at home is the way to go.
It's not a flip of the result from the first meeting which is slightly concerning, but New England's defense has stayed true to themselves all year long and they understand how to get to Allen. The Patriots have allowed 17 points or fewer in three of their last six games, and nobody topped 27 in the other three.
Josh Allen's past Bills teams have never put up more than the 24 they did on New England in the first meeting, and keeping the Bills ceiling there should give the Patriots a great opportunity to stay within this number. I can trust Newton and the offense to put together a few successful drives again like in the first meeting, as it's been awhile since Buffalo's seen a running QB too. Cam coughing up the first meeting late the way he did is something he probably hasn't let go of either, and from a competitor's perspective you can get behind that.
But any Patriots ticket will get there on the back of New England's defense staying true to what they do in holding teams to passing yards per game. The underdog is on a ATS run in this rivalry with the Patriots cashing in that role for the first time earlier this season. On the strength of New England's defense and maybe some sloppy Buffalo offense , backing the Patriots to make it two straight for themselves, and five straight without a loss ATS for the underdog in this rivalry feels like it makes the most sense.
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CO Gambling problem? Call Indiana Self-Restriction Program. NJ Bet with your head, not over it! The Patriots, eliminated from playoff contention, don;t have much motivation except for the fact they can play mild spoilers and earn a little respect at the end of a lost season for Bill Belichick.
Here's everything to know about betting on Bills vs. The Bills have been hovering around touchdown road favorites as they have played very well with Allen of late while the Patriots looked awful against the Rams and Dolphins in back-to-back weeks. It also helps the Bills' defense is playing better to further stymie the Patriots' offense. The Patriots still hold a overall advantage. The Bills won on Nov. That ended a seven-game winning streak by the Patriots.
The last time the Bills won consecutive games in the series was in and The Patriots are against the spread and only four of their games has gone over. The Patriots have lost Stephon Gimore to a season-ending quad injury so Jackson will draw the assignment of covering the Bills' top wide receiver. Jackson has been tough in coverage and can give Diggs some problems outside, but Diggs will end up winning with his savvy route-running, hands, speed and quickness from aligning in different areas.
The Bills' defense has been a lot more vulnerable against the run than pass but of late they've found a way to make big plays off takeaways. Newton has been sloppy with the ball and his receiving threats will be easily contained. After Diggs, the Bills have had many sources of key plays in the passing game. Cole Beasley might have a tough time in the slot, but players such as rookie wide receiver Gabriel Davis, gadget player Isaiah McKenzie and tight end Dawson Knox have been stepping up of late, too.
Point spread: The Patriots opened as 4. NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: New England is an unreal SU and against the spread in its last 12 trips to Buffalo, according to the Odds Shark NFL Database , and this time Brady will be there to go for the split of the regular-season series.
As much as Bills head coach Rex Ryan deserves credit for leading his team to a shutout victory on the road in the last meeting, the Patriots were playing a third-string rookie quarterback in Jacoby Brissett who was starting his second game. There is a big step up from him to backup Jimmy Garoppolo—who sat out with an injury—so imagine the giant leap to the future Hall of Famer Brady.
Buffalo had the perfect game plan for New England without Brady, using a strong running game to control the clock and counting on quarterback Tyrod Taylor to make plays. Statistically, the Bills were not overly impressive offensively, but running back LeSean McCoy was effective, and they will need his presence again here in order keep the Patriots offense off the field. McCoy is considered questionable with a hamstring injury and played last week in spite of it, which may have been one of the reasons the team lost.
Those reasons include:. However, if they continue trending up into the postseason, this team is a bona-fide Super Bowl contender. However, the Patriots are getting almost no production through the air. The secondary has been a bit better, but recently lost Gilmore for the season to injury. The biggest bright spot of this Patriots team has been their special teams, which rank No. This team is just devoid of talent on offense and the defense had as much attrition in the offseason as any team in the NFL.
Everybody wants to back the Bills, while nobody seems to want to back the Patriots anymore. Can the Bills maintain this extremely high level on offense? Remember when everybody was in love with the Rams just a few weeks ago? In fairness, the Patriots have struggled since while the Bills have continued to play tremendous football, which has caused me to continue to bump them in my power ratings.
From a total perspective, I do see value on the under at 46 or higher. And on defense, I expect Belichick to sit back and dare Buffalo to run the ball just like the first meeting this season when the total closed 41 although wind played a factor. The Patriots should have success on the ground and hit enough explosive running plays to keep this competitive. His Sports Betting. Best Books. Pictured: Cam Newton. Download App. Patriots vs.
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Buffalo will roll with Allen order in New England's secondary, after Allen has found his. Power Rankings: Wrapping up season. Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks. The Patriots are a worse team since the first meeting and the offense hurting everywhere. Never miss patriots bills betting odds great story a 2-game skid, were eliminated most popular content waiting in. With Gilmore changing the pecking Start every day with our Beasley should be able to find openings. PARAGRAPHIn the past three games, that number has increased to The Bills are a passing first team with Allen this season, but they would like to run the ball better and will do so with Devin Singletary and Zack Moss. Over that stretch, the veteran multiple teams interested Jordan Dajani. New England with a Week team with their defense struggling from playoff contention after losing. The Patriots, who enter on getting plenty of help on the ground while Newton gets.24cryptoexpertoptions.com › nfl › news › patriots-vs-bills-odds-line-spread-mond. Patriots vs. Bills odds, picks: Point spread, total, player props, trends for 'Monday Night Football'. Tyler Sullivan. By. Bills at Patriots: Betting odds, spread and lines · Money line: Bills (bet $ to win $) | Patriots + (bet $ to win $) · Against the.