nfl betting advice week 1

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Nfl betting advice week 1 grand national 2021 betting results

Nfl betting advice week 1

Bold prediction: Rookie running back J. Dobbins scores two touchdowns in his Ravens debut against a short-handed Browns defense down multiple starters due to training camp injuries. Dobbins had eight multi-TD games last season at Ohio State. Stat to know: Browns running back Nick Chubb recorded 1, rushing yards last season -- second most in the NFL behind Derrick Henry 's 1, -- and a season-high of them along with a career-high three rushing touchdowns came against the Ravens in Week 4.

But that isn't the only rushing attack to watch. Baltimore led the NFL with Injuries: Browns Ravens. What to know for fantasy: The Ravens might have spent the 55th overall pick on Dobbins this spring, but Mark Ingram had two of his four best games of last season in the first three weeks and is one of just four players since to have rushed for six scores in six consecutive seasons LaDainian Tomlinson , Adrian Peterson and Shaun Alexander.

See Week 1 rankings. Betting nugget: Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is against the spread ATS in his past nine regular-season starts. Read more. Matchup must-reads: No excuses for Browns' Mayfield in Year Jackson "obsessed" with winning Super Bowl Browns not interested in hype or excuses heading into opener Hollywood Brown "feels powerful" after packing on pounds Talented but crowded backfield is happy. ET Fox Matchup rating: What to watch for: Todd Gurley is expected to play a significant role as the Falcons' new top running back.

The team monitored his reps during training camp to make sure his left knee and body are fresh for the regular season. Although Gurley won't be asked to carry the full load, he could bring a much-needed run-game threat to what has been a pass-happy offense. Bold prediction: Seahawks defensive back Marquise Blair will make a game-changing play.

He had the best game of his rookie season against the Falcons in Atlanta, with a team-high 11 tackles and a key forced fumble. Blair was one of Seattle's standouts of training camp as he transitioned from safety to nickelback, and he should see action in that role Sunday against the Falcons' three-receiver-heavy offense.

Stat to know: Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson leads the NFL with passing touchdowns over the past three seasons, but Atlanta's Matt Ryan is in his career versus Wilson, including playoffs, and has won the previous two matchups. Injuries: Seahawks Falcons.

What to know for fantasy: Ryan has been a top-five fantasy quarterback through the first six weeks in each of the past two seasons and faces a Seahawks defense that allowed the sixth-most passing yards last season 4, Betting nugget: Ryan is ATS in his career as a home underdog.

Matchup must-reads: Wilson wants to "cook"; will the Seahawks let him? Falcons aiming to get Jones in the end zone more often Exploring Adams' contract status with Seahawks entering season Falcons season preview: Gurley could be ultimate wild card. What to watch for: Will Minnesota's Dalvin Cook get a contract extension before kickoff? The running back has no leverage to hold out of Sunday's game and risk not accruing a season toward free agency. But who knows how things will play out as Cook's contract status heads into the eleventh hour before game day?

Bold prediction: The Vikings will sack Aaron Rodgers five times. Minnesota won't have Danielle Hunter , but the Packers will realize they don't have a viable option at right tackle after letting Bryan Bulaga leave in free agency. Rodgers was never sacked more than five times in any game last season.

Stat to know: Rodgers posted a But for the second straight season, he threw for 4, yards and fewer than five interceptions -- he is the only QB in NFL history to do it even once. Injuries: Packers Vikings. What to know for fantasy: Three of Vikings wide receiver Adam Thielen 's best seven career games have come against the Packers, and now he is set to see a spike in target share following the trade of Stefon Diggs to Buffalo.

Matchup must-reads: Rodgers is ready for Year 2 of LaFleur's offense Vikings' Jefferson has look of a star, but he might have to wait Dillon's potential is as big as his legs Vikings counting on NFL's youngest group of corners in retooled defense Kirksey key to Packers' D. What to watch for: This is Stefon Diggs' and Josh Allen 's first game together, and it comes against a mediocre Jets secondary. Look for the third-year quarterback to target the Bills' new star wide receiver often as they continue to build chemistry.

Bold prediction: The Jets will score only one touchdown, and it won't happen until late in the game. In his past six games against Sean McDermott-coached defenses, Adam Gase's offenses haven't scored more than 21 points -- and the average per game is just The Jets' offense has so many new players that it's hard to imagine an efficient performance.

Stat to know: Jets quarterback Sam Darnold went over the final eight games of the season, throwing 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. His first five? A record, six TDs and nine interceptions. Injuries: Jets Bills. What to know for fantasy: The Bills' Allen has just one touchdown pass in his career against the Jets 78 passes thrown , but he has scored Betting nugget: The underdog has won four of the past five meetings outright in this series.

Jets GM says team angered by low expectations Bills' White gets extension, to be highest-paid CB Jets season preview: Enough playmakers around Darnold? Bills season preview: Can Allen lead them to a title? What to watch for: While all eyes will be on Cam Newton becoming the first non-homegrown quarterback to start for the Patriots since Scott Secules in Week 10 of the season, equally as compelling will be the matchup between Dolphins wide receiver DeVante Parker and Patriots cornerback Stephon Gilmore assuming both play through hamstring injuries.

Parker got the better of Gilmore -- the NFL's Defensive Player of the Year -- in last year's season finale eight catches, yards in a performance that sat with Gilmore all offseason. Bold prediction: Preston Williams -- not Parker -- leads the Dolphins in receiving, totaling over yards in his first game back from a torn ACL. Parker was the star of the previous matchup between these two teams.

But with a healthy duo and extra attention on Parker, Williams will be the main beneficiary of Ryan Fitzpatrick 's aggressive downfield throws. Stat to know: Newton will become fifth quarterback to make his first start for the Patriots since Bill Belichick became the team's head coach. The previous four all won that first start. Injuries: Dolphins Patriots. What to know for fantasy: After getting shut out in Week 2 against the Patriots, Parker's receiving yards in Week 17 were the most against New England since Tyreek Hill 's in Week 6 of Betting nugget: Miami was ATS over the final 12 games last season, all as an underdog.

Matchup must-reads: Why Fitzpatrick's impact on Dolphins cannot be overstated Dolphins season preview: It's Fitzpatrick's team, until Tagovailoa takes over Patriots season preview: Can Newton keep dynasty rolling? Dolphins acquire dynamic RB Bowden from Raiders. What to watch for: There are two key matchups. First, keep an eye on Washington's defensive front, the strength of the team, versus the Eagles' offensive line, which has been weakened.

McLaurin caught five passes for 72 yards in a matchup versus Slay last season when the latter played for Detroit. In two games against the Eagles, McLaurin caught a combined 10 passes for yards and two touchdowns. The Eagles' offensive line had a rough summer, losing a pair of starters, Brandon Brooks and Andre Dillard , to to injury, and a third, Lane Johnson , was hobbled for much of camp with an ailing ankle.

Jason Peters , 38, moved back out to left tackle this week after training this offseason at guard and will have to quickly adjust to fend off Young and the rest of Washington's formidable pass-rushers. Stat to know: In seven career starts against Washington, Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz has a record with 15 passing touchdowns. Injuries: Eagles Washington. What to know for fantasy: The Eagles ended the regular season on a four-game win streak and led the league in running back fantasy points over that stretch That run included a game at Washington Week 15 in which Miles Sanders scored a season-high Betting nugget: The Eagles have won the past six games in this series, covering in five of them.

Matchup must-reads: After kicking down doors, Wentz has found his voice How Washington's Gibson made Peterson expendable Eagles season preview: Wentz needs O-line to hold up Washington season preview: Can Haskins lead a turnaround? Eagles' Peters gets pay bump for move to LT. What to watch for: Bears starter Mitchell Trubisky has shredded the Lions' defense over the past two seasons, throwing nine touchdowns and one interception.

Detroit has the same head coach Matt Patricia but a new defensive coordinator Cory Undlin. Whether Trubisky continues to complete passes at a Bold prediction: Chicago's offense scores a touchdown on its opening drive. Unlikely, right? The Bears' offense struggled horribly in the first quarter last season. In their first eight games of , the Bears scored one touchdown and punted an NFL-worst seven times on opening drives, and they ended the season with 37 first-quarter points.

Will the Bears' offense rise from the ashes with Trubisky back at quarterback? Well, probably not. But he is usually pretty good versus the Lions. Stat to know: The Bears offense ranked No. In all, it had nine games with fewer than 20 points last season, tied for fourth most in the NFL.

Part of the reason was Trubisky's drop in Total QBR from , a plummet that ranked second worst behind only his new backup, Nick Foles minimum pass attempts. Injuries: Bears Lions. What to know for fantasy: Chicago wide receiver Allen Robinson scored Betting nugget: Detroit has nine consecutive seasons of hitting the over in its season opener, the longest active streak in the league. And the Bears were ATS on the road last season and failed to cover in 10 of the past 12 games overall.

Matchup must-reads: Bears' running game has question marks What does signing Peterson mean for the Lions? Mack determined to improve on substandard Stafford's "photographic" memory helps him master Lions' offense. What to watch for: Carolina ranked as one of the worst teams in the NFL at stopping the run last season, allowing So keep an eye on how the addition of first-round pick Derrick Brown , a defensive tackle out of Auburn, and the return of Pro Bowl defensive tackle Kawann Short from injured reserve bolsters a run defense that new Panthers coach Matt Rhule says will be key.

Bold prediction: A high-scoring, college football-style shootout is in the offing. Didn't Rhule and offensive coordinator Joe Brady just coach in college? Injuries: Raiders Panthers. What to know for fantasy: Carolina's DJ Moore quietly tied for the third-most games as a top performer at wide receiver nine , and over the past two seasons, the Raiders have allowed the seventh-most points to opposing receivers.

Matchup must-reads: Raiders' Waller continues march for stardom, continued sobriety in Sin City Panthers' Brady brings next-gen approach -- and mystery -- to opener Less talk, more focus: Raiders' second-year "rookie" Abram returns at safety Panthers season preview: Young DBs in crosshairs. What to watch for: The Jaguars have always had trouble with Philip Rivers.

The quarterback is against them -- completing Rivers is 38 and has slowed a bit, but he'll be facing a young, unproven Jaguars defense. The Jags have one rookie cornerback CJ Henderson starting, and five of the team's 11 defensive backs are rookies.

The only proven pass-rusher on the roster is Josh Allen , and the interior of the defensive line has been ravaged by injuries and retirements. Bold prediction: The Colts will have more than yards rushing. The Bears win total from our partners at DraftKings Sportsbook is 8 and I believe it should be at least a game and a half higher. The Lions win total according to our partner DraftKings is 7 and I believe it should be a game or two lower.

Put those things together and the better team is the underdog. Bet the Bears and take your ticket to the window. Scott Atkins ScottFantasy. Everyone has been talking about defenses having the advantage to start the season due to lack of a pre-season.

That's a time when an offense usually builds chemistry, so I think Daniel Jones might struggle against a tough Steelers defense. With Ben Roethlisberger returning from injury, he's likely to struggle too, so let the ground game and the defense do their thing and ease your way through a Week 1 win.

While we wait for the teams to settle in this week, let's take a peek at some past trends. Looking at the last six years, Week 1 divisional underdogs sit ATS. Matter of fact, GB swept them last year with an average win margin of nine points. Coach Mike Zimmer has lost a couple key players on both sides of the ball, all while opening the season against a team that came within one win of the Super Bowl last season. Give me the dog. I'm starting the season by doing two things I don't like to do: 1 Betting on a heavy road favorite early in the year, and 2 Projecting turnovers, which are typically fluky year-to-year not to mention game-to-game.

And, finally, the Giants, who won't have fans at MetLife Stadium, are against the spread as a home underdog over the last three seasons. Let's not get cute and overthink this for Week 1: I think the Steelers are a much better team than the Giants. We know how great that defense was last year, particularly after the Minkah Fitzpatrick trade. Everyone is talking about having a healthy Big Ben, but it's not just him. Pittsburgh had injuries at wide receiver and running back last year too; it's like they're getting their whole offense back.

Throw in the fact that they face a rookie head coach who didn't have a preseason and I like them to not just win but cover. Rootes had been with the Texans organization for more than two decades. Three years after their magical Final Four run, the Ramblers are out to prove that this year's team is even better. Get the inside scoop! The two sides meet in the first leg of the Copa del Rey semifinals on Wednesday, Feb. He said that a fan streaking on the field during Super Bowl LV was "exactly what we needed to complete the night.

He ordered the team to stop playing the anthem, and nobody noticed. The Glazers lifted the Lombardi Trophy by turning to a year-old quarterback, but an analogous line of thinking won't end Man United's doldrums. This is believed to be the first instance of a professional team getting rid of the U. Home Gambling. Editor's Note - Odds are subject to change.

By Joseph Salvador. College Basketball. By Kevin Sweeney. By Shawn Childs. By Avi Creditor. By Ben Pickman. Extra Mustard. By Jimmy Traina.

WHATS SPREAD BETTING

Even with considerable change, the Vikings are a bit tighter defensively than the Packers and will dig deep with ball control to take the early division lead. Pick: Vikings win anc cover the spread. But they are still a strong run-heavy team now with special rookie back Jonathan Taylor in the mix behind a mighty line. Another rookie, Michael Pittman Jr. Indianapolis also is stronger in the defensive front seven with DeForest Buckner as the anchor.

Jacksonville is rolling with more of Gardner Minshew, but the offense is in flux around him and the defense continues to lose more luster. Pick: Colts win and cover the spread. The Bears have had a heated but uninspiring quarterback competition between Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles to be the Week 1 starter.

The Lions will be getting Matthew Stafford back fully healthy from the back injury that removed the second half of his career-best season. They will have an improved running game with line upgrades and rookie D'Andre Swift to ease Stafford's burden. Chicago has its defense but there's not much else to trust as Detroit also should be a little better on that side than it was last season. Viva the Las Vegas Raiders. They are excited about their new identity and finished the final season in Oakland on the brink of the playoffs.

This is a tricky opening trip for the Raiders, but they are the better overall team with more known quantities, including Josh Jacobs. Pick: Raiders win and cover the spread. The Jets keep doing weird things with Adam Gase in control. Their defense seems more depleted and their offense seems to have the same old questions, with Breshad Perriman replacing Robby Anderson and Frank Gore backing Le'Veon Bell.

The Bills have heard plenty around Josh Allen, who now can also throw to Diggs. They are the returning playoff team. The Jets are the returning mess of a team. Pick: Bills win and cover the spread. The Ravens got stronger offensively around Lamar Jackson with rookie back J. Dobbins and younger, speedier wide receivers. They will recover well from the loss of Marshal Yanda to keep putting up prolific run-heavy numbers. The Browns figure to be far more efficient, balanced and explosive for Baker Mayfield and have real rebound playoff promise under new coach Kevin Stefanski.

Baltimore is bound to start faster out of the gate while Cleveland works on finding its more grounded footing. Pick: Ravens win and cover the spread. They have no issues under Carroll on these kind of cross-country trips, especially in Week 1 with no games before it. Wilson should pick apart former Seattle defensive coordinator Dan Quinn's unit, leaving Matt Ryan under duress in a pass-happy scheme against a secondary ready to make big plays on the ball.

Kliff Kingsbury is a young offensive-minded coach to watch the way Sean McVay and Kyle Shanahan once were in the division. Pick: 49ers win but fail to cover the spread. Dak Prescott doesn't have his long-term contract, but he will still be focused and motivated to have another big year with an extra elite weapon in rookie wideout CeeDee Lamb.

Mike McCarthy will leave a strong first impression with his offense and defense pumped for the new coach. Pick: Cowboys win and cover the spread. This is a rough season for the Giants schedule-wise. Watt leads the charge against rookie tackle Andrew Thomas without Nate Solder to help.

Pick: Steelers win and cover the spread. The Titans had their chance at the Chiefs and getting to the Super Bowl instead of the eventual champions. They remain in their run-heavy identity to set up the downfield passing game, now with Derrick Henry and Ryan Tannehill both getting their lucrative long-term contracts. Hamler all adding to the weaponry.

Denver matches that early vibe while Tennessee starts experiencing the expected letdown. Pick: Broncos win and cover the spread. American Football. Giants v Steelers. Broncos v Titans. Bills v Jets. Patriots v Dolphins. Falcons v Seahawks. However, by combining this system with other winning NFL betting strategies, like additional historically-profitable systems, market movement, model and power rating edges, which are all built into our new NFL PRO Report , bettors can find consistent edges to help profit over the long-term.

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We have seen this exact same scenario before with the Baltimore Ravens playing the Cincinnati Bengals with a chance for a playoff spot on the line. You can bet head coach John Harbaugh will be reminding his team of that scenario, as they once again would clinch a playoff berth with a win.

They have averaged 37 PPG over a four-game winning streak of their own, and will prove to be too much for the Bengals to overcome in this one. Andy Dalton is not walking through that door after all. They can do so with a win against the Texans, or by losses from either the Ravens, Colts or Dolphins. Thus, there is some risk involved with this play, as Tennessee could have the division wrapped up by the time they kickoff with the Dolphins losing to the Bills as the most likely scenario.

However, head coach Mike Vrabel is too much of a competitor to lay down and enter the playoffs on a two-game losing streak, even if they already have clinched. Look for the Titans to play hard in an attempt to end the season on a high note, no matter what the scenarios are at the time their game starts. Unlike the other three teams in this category, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the only team to have already clinched a playoff spot. However, they should still have plenty of motivation against the Falcons as a win locks them into the No.

That is important since they would play whoever wins the NFC East in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, and would likely be sizable road favorites in that game. With a loss, they could bump down to the No. Tampa Bay needed a second half comeback from down to beat the Falcons two weeks ago. However, this game is at home and I am not sure how many more excruciating losses the Falcons can stomach and still give a spirited effort each week. Minneosota allowed 52 points and total yards to the Saints, not to mention also allowing Alvin Kamara to tie an year old NFL record with six rushing touchdowns.

No matter who is under center for Detroit in Week 17, you cannot trust the Vikings this week. However, one of those scenarios involves them needing the Packers to lose to the Bears. There is no doubt Sean Payton will be scoreboard watching, and if the Packers look like they are on their way to victory, Payton could bench Drew Brees and get him rested for the first round of the playoffs.

In addition, the Saints narrowly beat the Panthers at home earlier in the season, and Teddy Bridgewater is the best quarterback since ATS as an underdog. Thus, there is speculation that Pittsburgh will choose to rest a number of key players, while the Browns need a win to secure a playoff berth. The risk behind this pick is that Pittsburgh could choose to play this game straight and not rest as many players as oddsmakers predict.

Though Pittsburgh won last week to end a three-game losing streak, entering the playoffs having won two straight games sounds a lot better than entering having lost four of five. Plus, it would likely be satisfying to Pittsburgh to knock their rivals out of playoff contention in the process. Welcome to the bizarro world that is Week 17 in the NFL! Chiefs head coach Andy Reid has already admitted that we would see backup quarterback Chad Henne at some point, and that both Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins will be kept from playing.

However, the Chiefs have not won 23 of their last 24 games by accident, so even their backups are capable of extending their winning streak. When your game gets flexed to Sunday night in Week 17, it means you have a lot on the line. If they lose, the division would go to whoever wins the earlier Cowboys-Giants game.

This play is solely contingent on the health and availability of Alex Smith, as I would have no confidence in the Football Team if Taylor Heinicke had to start. New England Patriots. If you need a stone-cold lock, go with either Seattle over Washington or Buffalo over Denver , but if you want the best value on the moneyline, grab the Dolphins at home against the Patriots. New England just got punched in the mouth by the Rams. Save for a foggy, rainy Week 10 home game in which they eked out a win over Baltimore, they have struggled mightily against elite defenses.

And Miami has been just that: Elite. Led by Brian Flores and defensive coordinator Josh Boyer, this defensive depth chart is coached by and littered with a ton of former Patriots. That probably makes for a crabby Belichick, and it also makes for a difficult day in the Sunshine State for Newton and his underwhelming set of receivers. The Dolphins rank second in the league in points surrendered, passing touchdowns allowed, and interceptions.

Translation: Things could get as ugly for New England as they got in L. On the other side of the ball, rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa has performed admirably the past two games. He went of for yards and a touchdown in a win over Cincy two weeks ago. He then threw for yards and two scores in a tough loss to the defending-champion Chiefs last week.

If Miami had not suffered injuries to leading receivers Devante Parker and Jakeem Grant hamstrings , as well as stud tight end Mike Gesicki shoulder , they might have pulled off the upset of the year. The year-old stepped up in a big way last week, catching seven-of-nine passes for 82 yards.

The Dolphins have defeated the Patriots in their second matchup of each of the past three seasons, all of which took place in Week 14s or later. Miami has that Belichick kryptonite, and despite a busy injury report, it also has the better team this weekend. The presumption of the uninformed bettor might be to bet on a high-scoring game here -- or to just follow the money -- which explains the 80 percent of sharp money and 88 percent of tickets on the OVER.

Buffalo has been red hot, taking down the 49ers and Steelers in consecutive prime-time games. A big reason why they have looked so great lately is because they preserve leads with good, solid defensive execution. And if they could hold an win Pittsburgh team to 15 points last week, they should pose big problems to a mistake-prone and injury-ravaged Broncos offense.