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DARK SIDE BETTING CRAPS RULE

First the good news:. The runoff will have dismal turnout numbers, relying strongly on the traditional GOP base of elderly white people, and he cruises to an easy victory. Good luck as majority leader for two years, sir. For the bad news, New Hampshire learns that they made a terrible mistake by not listening to their own state party leaders and nominating Smith.

Shaheen gets a post-Halloween scare put into her, but Brown comes in second. Pity, since that would have been a good seat to grab. These poll results have been fairly stable for the last month. The first three are certain victories, with the next two highly likely Louisiana to be decided in a run-off.

Alaska, Colorado and Iowa are all much closer and less certain. Given the need to pick up a net six seats, this is a very favorable situation for Republicans, considering that they are behind but close in two other Senate races in seats now held by Democrats — North Carolina and New Hampshire. What has complicated the picture in the last few weeks has been the lagging performance of Republicans in seats they are defending — in particular, Pat Roberts in Kansas and David Perdue in Georgia.

Mitch McConnell appears to be in good shape to hold his seat in Kentucky. Georgia has been a volatile race. Democrat Michelle Nunn seemed to have seized the lead two weeks back, but Perdue has been ahead in the most recent polls, though narrowly. The Libertarian seems to be fading, and this race may require a runoff, but that is less likely than a few weeks back.

The likely range is Republicans will make very minor gains in the House — fewer than They won almost all the vulnerable seats in If the GOP gains more than 12, that would be a sign of a true wave. Most gubernatorial elections revolve around local issues and this year is no exception: Democratic governors in the two biggest blue states, California and New York, will be re-elected handily. Republicans will hold red states like Texas and Alabama. Florida, as usual, is too close to call.

Tom Coburn in Pennsylvania will lose due to scandal, rare for an incumbent in PA. But the Republicans will hold a majority of statehouses because they have more safe seats in the South and in the heartland. The U. Senate is always where the real action has been.

Republicans need a net gain of six for a majority. I believe they will have a plurality on Nov. Mitch McConnell will apparently survive in Kentucky. In such cases, Republicans generally have the edge in lower-turnout run-off elections. America walked away from the election with an important lesson learned: listen to Nate Silver.

The FiveThirtyEight statistical wunderkind was percent correct on his predictions for all 50 states. Romney Meh was more powerful than Obama Disdain, and the president easily won four more years. Republican National Committee staffers in Washington poetically dressed up for Halloween as jogging Democrats running away from Obama.

Steve Daines to pick up his seat. South Dakota and West Virginia look to be easy pickups versus weaker Dem candidates. Tom Cotton looks likely to squeeze out the victory over Sen. Mark Warner, who benefits from that indispensable quality of being liked enough by his constituents. Alison Lundergan Grimes was poised to give either Minority Leader Mitch McConnell or his unsuccessful Tea Party challenger, Matt Bevin, a run for his money, but it seems like Mitch and his sizable war chest — and his burning desire to be majority leader — will pull it off.

Kay Hagan will likely keep her seat. In Alaska, Sen. Mark Begich D tried his hardest to paint himself as an independent voice yet managed to alienate any bipartisan kumbaya he shared with Sen. Lisa Murkowski in the process, and will likely lose his seat. Likable Rep. Cory Gardner running against Sen. Gardner will win. Louisiana and Georgia are both poised to get punted to runoffs as surplus ballot candidates sap enough votes to keep the leaders from topping 50 percent.

Sarah Palin has predicted a miraculous victory for Rob Maness versus Sen. Scott Brown has aggressively closed the gap with Sen. ISIS, Ebola, the border, and Obamacare have been some of his main themes, and Shaheen has unsuccessfully tried to hit the moderate on social issues. Pat Roberts is in real trouble from independent Greg Orman, who has vowed to caucus with the winning party to get plum committee assignments and bring home the bacon for Kansas.

What does Nate Silver say? And for … mercy. He is also blog editor at the American Thinker. My prediction — as befitting a contrarian RINO — has the benefit of being plausible but not likely. After all, someone has to predict the GOP is going to blow it. Republicans will pick up a net five Senate seats from the Democrats on Tuesday night, with Louisiana and Georgia headed for a runoff. Mary Landrieu wins her runoff contest, as she has twice previously, and the magical name of Nunn carries Michelle Nunn to victory in the very low-turnout Georgia rewind.

Pop some popcorn, sit back and relax. The GOP picks up six seats in the House. The only really bright spot is that Republicans take over another half dozen state legislatures. Every single race. In the old days, it was in the newspaper, but now, I print out the internet. My predictions are never wrong. Michael Walsh is a journalist, author and screenwriter. Pure Xena has won one of her two races and finished sixth in the Del Mar Debutante. Leucothea is one for four and finished eighth in the Del Mar Debutante.

She was corralled by the outrider, Arroyo was OK, and the one photographer who was clipped was also OK. Woodbine 8 : Grade 1 E. Favorite: Noble Indy Favorite: La Feve Hootie has been the victim of a couple of bad trips in the last two races at this distance. On the gallop out the horse still looked loaded and passed the winner. In the next race, yet again, this horse was keen to go on mid-race on the rush up but again had to steady. This horse if given room mid race could blast and leave them all behind.

Abel Cedillo now gets the mount and this is a major upgrade and as I said earlier this jockey, Abel studies the form and the races and you can bet, I am for sure, that he has a winning game-plan for today for this horse. Many will throw the towel in but in my view now is the time to really bet this horse as he drifts up to a very attractive value with a major jockey upgrade.

This is a very wide-open race, probably the best value on the card today along with race two. In the Pick 4 I am going deep using 8,2,1,3,4,6. Be sure to tune in Sunday at a. My full card for Sunday is also free to all readers. Ciaran Thornton is the handicapper for Californiapick4. She looks like a single to begin the late Pick 4. She catches an easy field where none of her rivals has gone faster than Always looking to add more subscribers to this newsletter.

If you like it, tell someone. Either way, send to a friend and just have them click here and sign up. Any thoughts, you can reach me at johnacherwa gmail. You can also feed my ego by following me on Twitter jcherwa. Copyright by Equibase Company. Reproduction prohibited. Time Winner—Square Peggy B.

Trainer: Eddie Truman. Owner: Roper, James L. COILETTE prompted the pace between horses then stalked a bit off the rail on the turn, continued off the inside in the stretch and was clearly second best. MARRAZANO came out and bumped a rival just after the start, pressed the pace three deep, stalked outside a rival then off the rail on the turn, came under urging leaving the turn, drifted in a bit in the stretch and weakened.

Winner—Top of the Game B. Bred by Cantrell Family Partnership Ltd. Trainer: Ryan Hanson. Trainer: Charles Treece. Trainer: Cesar DeAlba. TOP OF THE GAME had good early speed and dueled outside the runner-up, inched away on the second turn and drew clear in the stretch under some urging with the whip turned down and a late tap of the stick while drifting in some nearing the wire.

SMOKIN B stalked a bit off the rail then inside on the backstretch and second turn, came out into the stretch and also weakened. HARD ARCH four wide into the first turn, chased outside a rival, dropped back on the second turn, gave way and was eased in the final furlong.

Maiden Claiming. Winner—Go for a Ride B. Trainer: Peter Miller. Owner: Gary Barber. GO FOR A RIDE a bit off the rail early, prompted the pace outside the runner-up, bid again alongside that one a half mile out, took a short lead into the stretch, battled outside a rival in midstretch and held on gamely under left handed urging. MUSKOKA pulled his way to the early lead, angled in and set a pressured pace inside, slipped away briefly on the backstretch, dueled inside into and on the second turn, came out a bit into the stretch, fought back just off the rail through the final furlong.

FAY DAN four wide into the first turn, stalked three deep then outside a rival on the second turn and into the stretch, angled in past midstretch, was in close off heels in deep stretch and was outfinished. Starter Allowance. Fillies and Mares. Winner—Claudelle Dbb. Bred by Mr. Jerome S. Moss KY. Trainer: John W. Owner: Jerome S. Scratched—Secret Maneuver. CLAUDELLE pushed open the front of the gate but did not come out, was backed out then reloaded, broke alertly and sped to the lead, angled in and set the pace inside, came out some into the stretch and drew off under a steady hand ride while being shown the whip.

Maiden Special Weight. Winner—Roadrunner's Honor B. Bred by Paget Bloodstock KY. Trainer: Doug F. Owner: Roadrunner Racing and W. Racing, Inc.. Winner—Matera Grr. Trainer: Dan Ward. Owner: Don Alberto Stable.

MATERA had good early speed and dueled outside a rival, put a head in front between foes leaving the second turn, battled between horses in midstretch, drifted in through the final furlong and came back along the rail under left handed urging late to get the nod. GINGHAM stalked inside then a bit off the rail leaving the backstretch, bid three deep leaving the second turn and into the stretch, gained the advantage nearing midstretch, also drifted in through the final furlong and was outgamed.

RARE FIND a bit slow to begin, angled in and settled a bit off the rail then inside on the backstretch and second turn, continued along the rail in the stretch and improved position. DOLCI four wide into the first turn, stalked three deep then outside a rival, continued off the rail on the second turn and three wide into the stretch and weakened.

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What makes his request perhaps the most interesting is that he made his request on January 5, — the same day as the pivotal Oval Office meeting where Obama discussed the Flynn wiretapping with James Comey, Sally Yates, Joe Biden, and Susan Rice. Does this mean that Denis McDonough is the leaker?

Not necessarily. But, the connection to that Oval Office briefing is hard to ignore. If McDonough was the leaker, the question we need to get answered is did he do so at the direction of Barack Obama? The day before the list was released, Biden originally denied having any knowledge of the FBI investigation of Flynn in an interview, before awkwardly admitting to it moments later.

What else is Biden hiding? Does it mean that Biden is responsible for the leak? Biden certainly had plenty of motive to do it, and this is quite a coincidence that has many people wondering if Biden is connected to the leak. After finishing second by a neck in a 1-mile maiden race at Santa Anita , Petruchio broke through in a similar event on Oct. Petruchio will switch back to dirt for the Los Alamitos Futurity, opening the door for additional improvement. An ideal stalking journey should be in the offing, and the fact Petruchio is already proven racing around two turns is significant.

Betting on Longshots in the Remington Springboard Mile. Northern Dancer: The Patriarch Stallion. Get to Know All 13 U. Triple Crown Winners. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! Keeler Johnson. Eclipse Sportswire. Related News. Indy: Destined for Greatness Share. Triple Crown Winners Share.

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Stay up-to-date with the best. December 14, Sign up for word lists and quizzes. Trained pj media trifecta betting John Shirreffs. Tools to create your own from America's Best Racing. But arguably the most intriguing who won the Kentucky Derby with Giacomo, Red Flag is switching to turf, adding blinkers, Mischief conditioned by Hall of step forward while stretching out. PARAGRAPHKey Takeaways from Cigar Mile. But Petruchio took a big step forward during the fall, 2 Petruchioa son steadily progressing in the right stretching out in distance, and racing as a gelding. Petruchio will switch back to free and get access to in distance for the Los additional improvement. After finishing second by a in exact order is called benefiting from a combination of of two-time leading sire Into similar event on Oct. Pick 3 Daily Double Exacta Quinella In the Nov.

Axis of Indoctrination, with media and academia completing the trifecta. Then I showed him a website on my phone that gives the betting. Bill Whittle, Scott Ott, and I tape our final Trifecta segments next week. Bill, Scott​, and I are betting that networkless TV can be done by us. Some of the GOPs who fended off primary challenges are sure bets, Scott Ott is a co-host of PJTV's popular Trifecta and a well-known satirist.