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This means that when the trading day in the U. As such, the forex market can be extremely active any time of the day, with price quotes changing constantly. Unlike stock markets, which can trace their roots back centuries, the forex market as we understand it today is a truly new market. Of course, in its most basic sense—that of people converting one currency to another for financial advantage—forex has been around since nations began minting currencies.
But the modern forex markets are a modern invention. The values of individual currencies vary, which has given rise to the need for foreign exchange services and trading. There are actually three ways that institutions, corporations and individuals trade forex: the spot market , the forwards market, and the futures market.
Forex trading in the spot market has always been the largest market because it is the "underlying" real asset that the forwards and futures markets are based on. In the past, the futures market was the most popular venue for traders because it was available to individual investors for a longer period of time.
When people refer to the forex market, they usually are referring to the spot market. The forwards and futures markets tend to be more popular with companies that need to hedge their foreign exchange risks out to a specific date in the future. More specifically, the spot market is where currencies are bought and sold according to the current price.
That price, determined by supply and demand, is a reflection of many things, including current interest rates, economic performance, sentiment towards ongoing political situations both locally and internationally , as well as the perception of the future performance of one currency against another.
When a deal is finalized, this is known as a "spot deal. After a position is closed, the settlement is in cash. Although the spot market is commonly known as one that deals with transactions in the present rather than the future , these trades actually take two days for settlement. Unlike the spot market, the forwards and futures markets do not trade actual currencies. Instead they deal in contracts that represent claims to a certain currency type, a specific price per unit and a future date for settlement.
In the forwards market, contracts are bought and sold OTC between two parties, who determine the terms of the agreement between themselves. In the futures market, futures contracts are bought and sold based upon a standard size and settlement date on public commodities markets, such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. In the U. Futures contracts have specific details, including the number of units being traded, delivery and settlement dates, and minimum price increments that cannot be customized.
The exchange acts as a counterpart to the trader, providing clearance and settlement. Both types of contracts are binding and are typically settled for cash at the exchange in question upon expiry, although contracts can also be bought and sold before they expire.
The forwards and futures markets can offer protection against risk when trading currencies. Usually, big international corporations use these markets in order to hedge against future exchange rate fluctuations, but speculators take part in these markets as well. Note that you'll often see the terms: FX, forex, foreign-exchange market, and currency market. These terms are synonymous and all refer to the forex market.
Companies doing business in foreign countries are at risk due to fluctuations in currency values when they buy or sell goods and services outside of their domestic market. For example, imagine that a company plans to sell U. A stronger dollar resulted in a much smaller profit than expected. The blender company could have reduced this risk by shorting the euro and buying the USD when they were at parity. That way, if the dollar rose in value, the profits from the trade would offset the reduced profit from the sale of blenders.
If the USD fell in value, the more favorable exchange rate will increase the profit from the sale of blenders, which offsets the losses in the trade. The advantage for the trader is that futures contracts are standardized and cleared by a central authority. An opportunity exists to profit from changes that may increase or reduce one currency's value compared to another. A forecast that one currency will weaken is essentially the same as assuming that the other currency in the pair will strengthen because currencies are traded as pairs.
Imagine a trader who expects interest rates to rise in the U. The trader believes higher interest rates in the U. There are two distinct features to currencies as an asset class :. An investor can profit from the difference between two interest rates in two different economies by buying the currency with the higher interest rate and shorting the currency with the lower interest rate. Prior to the financial crisis, it was very common to short the Japanese yen JPY and buy British pounds GBP because the interest rate differential was very large.
This strategy is sometimes referred to as a " carry trade. Currency trading was very difficult for individual investors prior to the internet. Most online brokers or dealers offer very high leverage to individual traders who can control a large trade with a small account balance. The interbank market has varying degrees of regulation, and forex instruments are not standardized. In some parts of the world, forex trading is almost completely unregulated. The interbank market is made up of banks trading with each other around the world.
This system helps create transparency in the market for investors with access to interbank dealing. Depending on where the dealer exists, there may be some government and industry regulation, but those safeguards are inconsistent around the globe. It is also a good idea to find out what kind of account protections are available in case of a market crisis, or if a dealer becomes insolvent. A trader must understand the use of leverage and the risks that leverage introduces in an account.
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The Consumer Confidence released by the ANZ is a leading index that measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. A high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the NZD, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.
The Tokyo Consumer Price Index released by the Statistics Bureau is a measure of price movements obtained by comparison of the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services, excluding fresh food. The index captures inflation in Tokyo. The purchase power of JPY is dragged down by inflation. Generally a high reading is seen as positive for the JPY.
The Tokyo Consumer Price Index released by the Statistics Bureau is a measure of price movements obtained by comparison of the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. These volatile products such as food and energy are excluded in order to capture an accurate calculation. CPI is the most significant way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
The Tokyo Consumer Price Index is released by the Statistics Bureau and it's a measure of price movements obtained by comparison of the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services.
Generally a high reading is seen as positive. Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks Link. The report is released by the Ministry of Finance, detailing the flows from the public sector excluding Bank of Japan. The net data shows the difference of capital inflow and outflow. A positive difference indicates net sales of foreign securities by residents capital inflow , and a negative difference indicates net purchases of foreign securities by residents capital outflow.
Foreign Bond Investment Link. The Consumer Confidence released by the Statistics Finland is a leading index that measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. A high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.
Industrial Confidence Link. The Industry Confidence released by the Confederation of Finnish Industries shows the opinion of manufacturing executives regarding production expectations, order books and finished goods inventories.
The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics Finland is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Finland. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of Finnish economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a falling trend is seen as negative or bearish.
The gross domestic product announced by Statistics Finland is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Finland. GDP is considered a broad measure of the performance and health of the Finnish economy. In general, a high is seen as positive or bullish on the euro, while a low is seen as negative or a downtrend.
Import price index, reported by Federal Statistical Office Destatis , measures the change in prices for goods imported by Germany. The Import Price Index is important in distinguishing changes in trade volume versus changes in trade prices. Whereas growth in import volume suggests stronger consumer demand and economic expansion, growth in import prices suggests higher production costs and inflationary pressures.
Industrial Outlook Link. The Industrial Outlook released by the Statistics Denmark shows forecasts of the growth in the industrial sector. It is considered as an indicator of future business expectations.
A high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the Danish Kroner, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish. Retail Sales Link. The retail Sales released by the Statistics Norway measures the total receipts of retail stores. Monthly percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending.
Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the Norwegian krone, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish. Economic Confidence Index Link. Economic confidence index, released by Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey is a survey which aims to measure the present situation assessments and future period expectations of consumers' on personal financial standing and general economic course.
The index is evaluated between 0 and The reading above means consumers are optimistic and below are pessimistic. Nationwide Housing Prices s. The Nationwide Housing Prices shows the value of the houses prices in UK and indicate current movements in the housing market that is considered as a sensitive factor to the UK's economy. A high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.
Nationwide Housing Prices n. Consumer Spending MoM Link. The level of spending can be used as an indicator of consumer optimism. A high reading is positive or Bullish for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative or Bearish.
A rising trend has a positive effect on the Euro, while a falling trend is seen as negative or bearish. Producer Prices MoM Link. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the Euro, whereas a low reading is seen as negative or bearish. The Consumer Price Index released by INSEE is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services.
The purchase power of the Euro is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the Euro, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish. Retail Sales YoY Link. The Retail Sales released by the National Institute of Statistics is a measure of changes in sales of the retail sector.
It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the Euro, while a low reading is seen as negative or Bearish. Unemployment Rate 3M Link. The Unemployment Rate released by the Hungarian Central Statistical Office, is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force.
It is a leading indicator for the Hungarian economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Hungarian labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive or bullish for the Florint, while an increase is seen as negative or bearish.
German Buba President Weidmann speech Link. Dr Jens Weidmann is the president of the Deutsche Bundesbank. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. A high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the Krona, while a low reading is seen as negative or Bearish. Retail Sales MoM Link. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of Swedish economic activity and health.
Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the Krona, while a falling trend is seen as negative or bearish. Trade Balance MoM Link. It is an event that generates some volatility for the Swedish Krona. If a steady demand in exchange for Swedish exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive or bullish for the Krona.
The Consumer Price Index released by the Statistics Iceland is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of Iceland Krona is dragged down by inflation. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the Iceland Krona, while a low reading is seen as negative or Bearish.
The Consumer Confidence released by the Istituto Nazionale di Statistica is a survey of the consumer opinions in Italy. It indicates the performance of the overall economy in a short-term view. A positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the EUR, whereas a negative growth is seen as bearish. Business Confidence Link. The Business Confidence released by the Istituto nazionale di statistica is a survey of the current business condition in Italy.
Registered Unemployment s. The Unemployment Rate released by the Directorate of Labour is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the Norwegian economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Norwegian labor market. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive or bullish for the Norwegian krone, while an increase is seen as negative or bearish.
Registered Unemployment n. The Consumer Price Index released by the National Bank of Belgium is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The Consumer Confidence released by Statistics Portugal is a leading index that measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity.
The Business Confidence released by Statistics Portugal is a survey of the current business condition in Portugal. ECB's Panetta speech Link. Services Sentiment Link. Services sentiment indicator, released by European Comission , measures business sentiment in the services sector. The figure is derived from a survey asking firms in the service sector about current and expected demand.
Since the service sector accounts for roughly two thirds of total Euro-zone GDP, Services Confidence provides an important confirmation of the health for the overall economy. High levels of Services Confidence suggest future upward trends for production and employment. The figure is determined by the difference between positive and negative answers. Therefore a headline above zero indicates positive service sector confidence, while a negative number shows negative confidence.
Economic Sentiment Indicator Link. The Euro Zone Economic Confidence released by the European Commission is a survey of consumers confidence in economic activity. It indicates the trend of the overall Euro Zone economy. An optimistic view of consumers is considered as positive for the EUR, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative. The Industrial Confidence released by the European Commission is an index that measures the level of industrial executives confidence in economic activity.
The survey asks about orders and buildup of inventories. A high level of industrial confidence stimulates economic expansion while a low level drives to economic downturn. The Producer Price Index released by the National Institute of Statistics measures the average changes in prices in primary markets of Italy by producers of commodities in all states of processing.
The Consumer Confidence released by the European Commission is a leading index that measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. Business Climate Link. Business climate indicator, released by European Comission , is based on monthly surveys and is designed to deliver a clear and timely assessment of the cyclical situation within the euro area. It may be interpreted as a survey result: a high level indicates that, overall, the surveys point to a healthy cyclical situation.
Conversely, a low level points to an adverse business climate. A rise a fall in the indicator will point to an upswing in activity and an improvement deterioration in the business climate. Its movement is clearly linked to the industrial production of the euro area. Italian BTP bonds have maturities of three, five, ten, fifteen and thirty years.
The yield on the BTP represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bond until maturity. Investors monitor the yield volatility and compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security as an indicator of the government debt situation. The Wholesale inflation index is a key indicator to measure inflation.
Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the BRL, while a low reading is seen as negative or Bearish. A high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the Euro, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish. It is an event that generates some volatility for the Mexican Peso.
If a steady demand in exchange for Mexican exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance which should be positive or bullish for the Peso. The FX Reserves released by the Reserve Bank of India presents changes in the value of official reserve assets reflecting purchases and sales including swaps of foreign exchange by the Central Bank, earnings on foreign securities, and transactions with official institutions overseas.
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